Drop in current views, days since publish and a niche. The page returns day-7, day-30, day-90, day-365 and day-730 projections, plus a lifecycle stage read and a current velocity number.
Current views, days since publish, and niche feed the decay curve.
Five forward-looking view targets, a current velocity number, a lifecycle stage read and a long-tail signature — per niche curve.
Day-7, day-30, day-90, day-365 and day-730 estimates land on one panel. Same view, no spreadsheet, no copy-paste of past numbers.
Ten dropdown niches feed ten distinct long-tail factors. News collapses in a fortnight; an evergreen Python tutorial keeps compounding for years.
Decay-weighted views-per-day, not a naive lifetime average. Captures today's rate so you can plan the next 30 days against reality.
Climb, Plateau, Tail or Cold — based on days since publish versus the niche's empirical decay constant. One word, instantly actionable.
A copy block translates the projection into a monetisation read — whether to pull watch hours forward or ride the compound tail.
The math runs inside your browser. View totals, niche choice and projected numbers never leave the page. Close the tab, calculation gone.
A log-decay curve per niche projects the next year of views from the current state.
Drop in current views, days since publish, and the niche — that is the entire input surface.
Each niche carries its own decay constant and long-tail factor. The curve fits the current state and projects forward.
Five projection cards, plus a Climb / Plateau / Tail / Cold lifecycle-stage verdict above them.
The math runs in three seconds. The interpretation runs your whole posting strategy. Here is what to do with each piece of output.
Every niche on the dropdown carries its own long-tail factor and its own decay constant. A breaking news clip flatlines inside three weeks; an evergreen Python install tutorial keeps drawing search clicks half a decade in. The projection mirrors that reality — same math, ten different shapes, no manual tuning required.
Naive math divides lifetime views by lifetime days — useless on day 200 when most of the traffic happened in week one. The velocity readout splits the spike from the tail, weights each piece by where you are in the curve, and gives a daily figure you can actually plan against for the next 30 days.
The stage verdict compares your days-since-publish against the niche's empirical decay constant. Climb says keep promoting because the algorithm is still feeding. Plateau says hold steady. Tail says the search engine is doing the work now. Cold says it is time for a thumbnail rescue or a chapter rebuild.
The note at the bottom of the panel compares your day-365 figure to your day-30 figure and translates the ratio into an action prompt. A high ratio means ride the compound and plan ad placements for the year. A low ratio means pull watch hours forward, because this video pays its monetisation bill in the first month or not at all.
A YouTube video does not earn its views evenly. Most uploads collect somewhere between half and three-quarters of their lifetime views in the first 30 days, then drop into a long, uneven tail. The shape of that tail depends almost entirely on the niche — not the channel size, not the thumbnail, not the title. This page applies a niche-specific decay curve to whatever current view count you paste, then projects the rest of the lifecycle from there.
The math takes your current views and stretches them across a logarithmic curve. The further out the target day, the smaller the marginal addition — which mirrors how Search and Suggested actually behave once the launch window closes.
A breaking news upload and an evergreen Python tutorial can finish week one with identical views and end year two an order of magnitude apart. The dropdown is the single biggest variable in the whole calculation, not a label.
If your video is older than a projection window, the card shows an estimate of what that checkpoint probably looked like at the time. Useful for comparing old uploads against the shape your newer videos are tracing today.
The view count you paste, the niche you pick and the projection that comes back never leave the browser. No login, no cookie tied to your numbers, no row written in a database, no analytics ping fired with your inputs.
One form, seven distinct outputs. Each one answers a specific question creators and strategists ask every week.
Tells you what the first promotional window probably produced — or, for newer uploads, where it is heading. Compare against your channel baseline to spot under or over performance instantly.
The number sponsors and CPM models lean on. Estimating it before you get there sets a clean target for promotion budgets, collab outreach and ad-spend caps.
By day 90 most niches reveal their compounding behaviour. The projection here decides whether a re-promotion push makes sense or whether the search tail is already doing the work.
A full-year view total used for evergreen monetisation deals, course funnel maths and channel valuation. The single most-referenced number on the panel.
Two years out is where the niche-specific long-tail factor really shows itself. Tutorial and Evergreen Tech can double or triple the day-365 figure here; news content does not move at all.
Daily view rate measured against today, not the launch peak. The number to budget the next 30 days against without inheriting the spike distortion.
The Climb / Plateau / Tail / Cold call plus the day-365-over-day-30 ratio tell you whether to pull watch hours forward or ride the compound.
| What you actually want to know | Guessing & paid platforms | This projection |
|---|---|---|
| Get a day-365 view forecast in under three seconds | Manual spreadsheet | One panel, instant |
| Pick a niche-specific decay curve | One generic curve | 10 tuned curves |
| Run a what-if without re-entering data | Rebuild from scratch | Tweak any field |
| Velocity that reflects today, not the launch peak | Lifetime average | Decay-weighted |
| Lifecycle stage labelled in plain English | Charts only | Climb / Plateau / Tail / Cold |
| Cost & signup | Paid SaaS seats | Free, no login |
Wondering whether to keep promoting a video or move on to the next upload. The Climb-or-Plateau verdict makes that call in one glance.
Planning a quarter of content calls for clean monetisation targets. The day-90 and day-365 projections feed the spreadsheet without manual decay math.
Negotiating an evergreen integration needs a defensible year-out view forecast. The projection panel produces one the same minute the brief arrives.
Tutorial uploads compound for years. The day-730 figure justifies the production budget on long-form lessons that look slow in week one.
Auditing a client roster of channels. Five inputs per video, one panel, no SaaS seat, no per-channel licence — the perfect rapid screening tool.
Five clean stages between your three inputs and the panel landing on screen.
Current view count, days since publish, and a niche from the dropdown. That is the entire input surface — no upload, no API key, no Studio connection.
Each niche carries its own long-tail factor, decay constant and cold threshold. The browser picks the right set the instant you change the dropdown.
A logarithmic stretch produces the day-7, day-30, day-90, day-365 and day-730 figures. Each one is clamped to stay sane against your current view count.
The velocity readout decay-weights the spike-vs-tail split. The stage verdict compares your day count against the niche decay constant.
A short copy block translates the day-365-over-day-30 ratio into a monetisation read. The whole panel renders in milliseconds, locally, with nothing stored.
“I drop in my Monday upload numbers every Thursday morning. The day-30 anchor decides whether I run a paid push or save the budget for the next video.”
“The Tail-versus-Cold distinction saved me from deleting four old tutorials that were quietly compounding. I refreshed thumbnails instead and the channel watch hours jumped.”
“Quote a day-365 view forecast in a sponsor deck and you skip an entire round of back-and-forth. This is now the first tab I open when a brief lands.”
Paste current views, days since publish and a niche. Read the panel. Plan the next 30 days against reality, not against a guess.
Run a small gaming channel — used the revenue calculator and SEO analyzer the same week. The SEO tool flagged that my titles were under-optimized. Renamed three videos, saw views jump 40% over the next 30 days.
Monetization checker confirmed my channel met all the policies before I applied. Saved me an awkward rejection from YouTube. Worth its weight.
Shorts revenue calculator gave me an honest range — small for new shorts, real for proven ones. Other tools just hype the number to make creators dream.
Video lifecycle analyzer changed how I plan content. Showed me how my old videos still pulled views years later. Started making more evergreen pieces because of that data.
Solid toolkit. Would love the retention-rate estimator to factor in audience age more carefully, but the data is still very useful for content tweaks.
Cross-platform agency here. We use the revenue calculator for client budget conversations. The estimates land within reasonable margins of actual reported earnings.
SEO analyzer pointed out that my video descriptions were missing keywords the title implied. Quick fix, real impact on impressions.
Money calculator gave a defensible number for a sponsor pitch. Got the deal. The platform stopped paying me as well last year so external estimators matter now.
Useful suite. Would love a "compare two videos" mode for the SEO analyzer, but the single-video analysis is already detailed.
Retention-rate estimator helped me see why a specific video underperformed. Hooks dropping at the 8-second mark. Re-edited and republished, doubled retention.
Monetization checker is honest — told me my new channel was not eligible yet and exactly which criteria I was missing. Better than YouTube's own opaque process.
No paywall. No upsell. Free YouTube tools that actually give real numbers. Filipino creators thank you.